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TZA Tanzania - Premier League · Match ·

Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.59 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji FC
Expected goals1.59Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 32% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dodoma Jiji FC win (29%)Dubbelchans1X71%1.41
Över 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Ja 30% · Nej 70%Båda lagen gör målNej70%1.43
1.59 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapMbeya City winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mbeya City win39%2.562.2040.8%-1.8 pp
Oavgjort32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
Dodoma Jiji FC win29%3.453.2028%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mbeya City0.65

Hemma share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals1.59Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 22% · Under 78%

Dodoma Jiji FC0.94

Borta share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nej 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Mbeya City

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Dodoma Jiji FC

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.65
Expected goals
0.94
Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mbeya City signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dodoma Jiji FC signalHemma failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mbeya City vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 32%,Dodoma Jiji FC vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.59 · Över 2.5 22% · Current selection Under