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URY Uruguay League Women · Meci ·

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (F)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde77%
Egal14%
Victorie oaspeți9%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde77% selection probability
Projected score2–1Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (F)
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
77% / 14% / 9%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Liverpool Montevideo (F) win (8.5%)Șansă dublă1X91.5%1.09
Peste 60% · Sub 40%Goals 2.5Peste60%1.67
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
3.02 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol (W) win77%1.301.1180.4%
Egal14%7.147.0012.7%
Liverpool Montevideo (F) win9%11.1113.006.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol (W)2.10

Gazde share of expected goals 69.5%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 60% · Sub 40%

Liverpool Montevideo (F)0.92

Oaspeți share of expected goals 30.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Penarol (W)

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo (F)

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Câștig probability excluding draw
9%
15
Points from supplied form
6
2.10
Expected goals
0.92
Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol (W) signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo (F) signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol (W) câștig 77%,Egal 14%,Liverpool Montevideo (F) câștig 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Peste 2.5 60% · Current selection Peste