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URY Uruguay League Women · Мач ·

Penarol (W) vs Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина77%
Равен14%
Победа за госта9%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина77% selection probability
Projected score2–1Penarol (W)Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
77% / 14% / 9%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) win (8.5%)Двоен шанс1X91.5%1.09
Над 60% · Под 40%Goals 2.5Над60%1.67
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
3.02 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol (W) win77%1.301.1180.4%
Равен14%7.147.0012.7%
Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) win9%11.1113.006.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol (W)2.10

Домакин share of expected goals 69.5%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 60% · Под 40%

Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)0.92

Гост share of expected goals 30.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Penarol (W)

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
9%
15
Points from supplied form
6
2.10
Expected goals
0.92
Penarol (W)Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol (W) signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Penarol (W) vs Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol (W) печеливш 77%,Равен 14%,Ливърпул Монтевидео (Ж) печеливш 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Над 2.5 60% · Current selection Над