Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
77% / 14% / 8%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Liverpool Montevideo (D) win (8.5%)Dubbele Kans1X91.5%1.09
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
3.04 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol (W) win77%1.301.1180.4%—
Gelijkspel14%7.147.0012.7%—
Liverpool Montevideo (D) win8%12.5013.006.9%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 69.4%
Total expected goals3.04Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%
Uit share of expected goals 30.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchPenarol (W)
WWWWW
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLiverpool Montevideo (D)
WLLWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
77%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
8%15
Points from supplied form
62.11
Expected goals
0.93Penarol (W)Liverpool Montevideo (D)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 14%.
Match questions
Penarol (W) vs Liverpool Montevideo (D) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol (W) gewonnen 77%，Gelijkspel 14%，Liverpool Montevideo (D) gewonnen 8%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.04 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven。