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AUS Australia - Northern NSW - Premier League · Meci ·

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Valentine Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Newcastle Olympic FCValentine Phoenix
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 21% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Șansă dublă1278.6%1.27
Peste 57% · Sub 43%Goals 2.5Peste57%1.75
Da 53% · Nu 47%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53%1.89
2.95 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapNewcastle Olympic FC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle Olympic FC win55%1.821.6554.4%+0.6 pp
Egal21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Valentine Phoenix win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle Olympic FC2.02

Gazde share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 57% · Sub 43%

Valentine Phoenix0.93

Oaspeți share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 53% · Nu 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Newcastle Olympic FC

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Valentine Phoenix

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.02
Expected goals
0.93
Newcastle Olympic FCValentine Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle Olympic FC signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valentine Phoenix signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Valentine Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle Olympic FC câștig 55%,Egal 21%,Valentine Phoenix câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Peste 2.5 57% · Current selection Peste