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AUS Australia - Northern NSW - Premier League · Partita ·

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Valentine Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Newcastle Olympic FCValentine Phoenix
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 21% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Doppia Chance1278.6%1.27
Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%Goals 2.5Sopra57%1.75
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.95 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapNewcastle Olympic FC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle Olympic FC win55%1.821.6554.4%+0.6 pp
Pareggio21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Valentine Phoenix win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle Olympic FC2.02

Casa share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%

Valentine Phoenix0.93

Trasferta share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Newcastle Olympic FC

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Valentine Phoenix

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.02
Expected goals
0.93
Newcastle Olympic FCValentine Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle Olympic FC signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valentine Phoenix signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Valentine Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle Olympic FC vinta 55%,Pareggio 21%,Valentine Phoenix vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Sopra 2.5 57% · Current selection Sopra