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AUS Ausztrália - Northern NSW Premier League · Mérkőzés ·

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Valentine Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem55%
Döntetlen21%
Vendég győzelem24%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Newcastle Olympic FCValentine Phoenix
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett57% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
55% / 21% / 24%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Dupla esély1278.6%1.27
Felett 57% · Alatt 43%Goals 2.5Felett57%1.75
Igen 53% · Nem 47%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53%1.89
2.95 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.5 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapNewcastle Olympic FC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle Olympic FC win55%1.821.6554.4%+0.6 pp
Döntetlen21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Valentine Phoenix win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle Olympic FC2.02

Hazai share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 57% · Alatt 43%

Valentine Phoenix0.93

Vendég share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 53% · Nem 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Newcastle Olympic FC

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Valentine Phoenix

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Nyert probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.02
Expected goals
0.93
Newcastle Olympic FCValentine Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle Olympic FC signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valentine Phoenix signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Valentine Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle Olympic FC nyer 55%,Döntetlen 21%,Valentine Phoenix nyer 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · 2.5 felett 57% · Current selection Felett