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AUS Austrália - Nova Gales do Sul - Norte - Premier League · Partida ·

Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa55%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante24%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Newcastle OlympicValentine Phoenix
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
55% / 21% / 24%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Dupla Chance1278.6%1.27
Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%Goals 2.5Acima57%1.75
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
2.95 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapNewcastle Olympic winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle Olympic win55%1.821.6554.4%+0.6 pp
Empate21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Valentine Phoenix win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle Olympic2.02

Mandante share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%

Valentine Phoenix0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Newcastle Olympic

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Valentine Phoenix

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.02
Expected goals
0.93
Newcastle OlympicValentine Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle Olympic signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valentine Phoenix signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle Olympic ganhou 55%,Empate 21%,Valentine Phoenix ganhou 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Acima 2.5 57% · Current selection Acima