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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Meci ·

SD Aucas vs Leones FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde54%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde54% selection probability
Projected score1–1SD AucasLeones FC
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
54% / 28% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leones FC win (18.6%)Șansă dublă1X81.4%1.23
Peste 39% · Sub 61%Goals 2.5Sub61%1.64
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapLeones FC winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SD Aucas win54%1.851.7054.8%-0.8 pp
Egal28%3.573.4027.4%+0.6 pp
Leones FC win19%5.265.2517.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Aucas1.24

Gazde share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 39% · Sub 61%

Leones FC1.01

Oaspeți share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

SD Aucas

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Leones FC

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
SD AucasLeones FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Aucas signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leones FC signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

SD Aucas vs Leones FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Aucas câștig 54%,Egal 28%,Leones FC câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Peste 2.5 39% · Current selection Sub