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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Meci ·

FK Minija vs FK BE1

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde59%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți17%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK MinijaFK BE1
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
59% / 24% / 17%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK BE1 win (17.2%)Șansă dublă1X82.8%1.21
Peste 57% · Sub 43%Goals 2.5Peste57%1.75
Da 48% · Nu 52%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52%1.92
2.96 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FK Minija win59%1.69
Egal24%4.17
FK BE1 win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.19

Gazde share of expected goals 74%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 57% · Sub 43%

FK BE10.77

Oaspeți share of expected goals 26%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 48% · Nu 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK BE1

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Câștig probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.19
Expected goals
0.77
FK MinijaFK BE1
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK BE1 signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK BE1 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija câștig 59%,Egal 24%,FK BE1 câștig 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Peste 2.5 57% · Current selection Peste