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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Spiel ·

FK Minija vs FK BE1

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg58%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg58% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK MinijaFK BE1
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
58% / 24% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK BE1 win (17.4%)Doppelte Chance1X82.6%1.21
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.96 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
FK Minija win58%1.72
Unentschieden24%4.17
FK BE1 win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.18

Heim share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

FK BE10.78

Auswärts share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK BE1

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.18
Expected goals
0.78
FK MinijaFK BE1
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK BE1 signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK BE1 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija Gewinn 58%,Unentschieden 24%,FK BE1 Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über