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AUT Austria - 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde57%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți18%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde57% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
57% / 24% / 18%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Austria Vienna II win (18.2%)Șansă dublă1X81.8%1.22
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.0%Largest probability gapFK Austria Vienna II winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Polten win57%1.751.6257.1%-0.1 pp
Egal24%4.173.8024.4%-0.4 pp
FK Austria Vienna II win18%5.565.0018.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Polten1.57

Gazde share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

FK Austria Vienna II0.65

Oaspeți share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

St Polten

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Austria Vienna II

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Câștig probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
0.65
St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Polten signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Austria Vienna II signalOaspeți failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Polten câștig 57%,Egal 24%,FK Austria Vienna II câștig 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub