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AUT Austria - 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa57%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa57% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
57% / 24% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Austria Vienna II win (18.2%)Doppia Chance1X81.8%1.22
Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%Goals 2.5Sotto62%1.61
Sì 38% · No 62%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.0%Largest probability gapFK Austria Vienna II winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Polten win57%1.751.6257.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.8024.4%-0.4 pp
FK Austria Vienna II win18%5.565.0018.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Polten1.57

Casa share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%

FK Austria Vienna II0.65

Trasferta share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

St Polten

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FK Austria Vienna II

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
0.65
St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Polten signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Austria Vienna II signalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Polten vinta 57%,Pareggio 24%,FK Austria Vienna II vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Sopra 2.5 38% · Current selection Sotto