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AUT Østrig - 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

St. Pölten vs FK Austria Vienna II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr57%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr18%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr57% selection probability
Projected score2–1St. PöltenFK Austria Vienna II
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
57% / 24% / 18%KampresultatHjemmesejr57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Austria Vienna II win (18.2%)Dobbeltchance1X81.8%1.22
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Begge hold scorerNej62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.0%Largest probability gapFK Austria Vienna II winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St. Pölten win57%1.751.6257.1%-0.1 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.8024.4%-0.4 pp
FK Austria Vienna II win18%5.565.0018.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St. Pölten1.57

Hjemme share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

FK Austria Vienna II0.65

Ude share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

St. Pölten

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FK Austria Vienna II

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vundet probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
0.65
St. PöltenFK Austria Vienna II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St. Pölten signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Austria Vienna II signalUde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St. Pölten vs FK Austria Vienna II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St. Pölten vundet 57%,Uafgjort 24%,FK Austria Vienna II vundet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under