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AUT Austria - 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC LieferingHertha Wels
Expected goals3.20Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 25% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Șansă dublă1275.4%1.33
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 61% · Nu 39%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapHertha Wels winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Liefering win49%2.041.9148.7%+0.3 pp
Egal25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Hertha Wels win26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Liefering1.98

Gazde share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals3.20Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

Hertha Wels1.22

Oaspeți share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 61% · Nu 39%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Liefering

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Hertha Wels

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
15
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.22
FC LieferingHertha Wels
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Liefering signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hertha Wels signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Liefering câștig 49%,Egal 25%,Hertha Wels câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste