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MEX Mexic - Liga de Expansion · Meci ·

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tepatitlan de Morelos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.47 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde27%
Egal36%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Cruz Azul HidalgoTepatitlan de Morelos
Expected goals1.47Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub82% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
27% / 36% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cruz Azul Hidalgo win (26.7%)Șansă dublăX273.3%1.36
Peste 18% · Sub 82%Goals 2.5Sub82%1.22
Da 27% · Nu 73%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu73%1.37
1.47 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Cruz Azul Hidalgo win27%3.70
Egal36%2.78
Tepatitlan de Morelos win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo0.61

Gazde share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals1.47Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 18% · Sub 82%

Tepatitlan de Morelos0.86

Oaspeți share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 27% · Nu 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Tepatitlan de Morelos

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
0.61
Expected goals
0.86
Cruz Azul HidalgoTepatitlan de Morelos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cruz Azul Hidalgo signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tepatitlan de Morelos signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tepatitlan de Morelos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cruz Azul Hidalgo câștig 27%,Egal 36%,Tepatitlan de Morelos câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.47 · Peste 2.5 18% · Current selection Sub