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MEX Μεξικό - Liga de Expansion · Αγώνας ·

Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο vs Τεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.47 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου27%
Ισοπαλία36%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Κρουζ Αζούλ ΙντάλγκοΤεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος
Expected goals1.47Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω82% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
27% / 36% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο win (26.7%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX273.3%1.36
Άνω 18% · Κάτω 82%Goals 2.5Κάτω82%1.22
Ναι 27% · Όχι 73%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι73%1.37
1.47 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο win27%3.70
Ισοπαλία36%2.78
Τεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο0.61

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals1.47Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 18% · Κάτω 82%

Τεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος0.86

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 27% · Όχι 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
0.61
Expected goals
0.86
Κρουζ Αζούλ ΙντάλγκοΤεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο vs Τεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κρουζ Αζούλ Ιντάλγκο νίκη 27%,Ισοπαλία 36%,Τεπατιτλάν ντε Μορέλος νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.47 · Άνω 2.5 18% · Current selection Κάτω