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CHE Elvetia - 1.Liga Promotion · Final ·

AC Bellinzona vs Basel II

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–3Predicție 2–2
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 38% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde38% selection probability
Projected score2–2AC BellinzonaBasel II
Expected goals3.36Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste65% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 25% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Șansă dublă1275.2%1.33
Peste 65% · Sub 35%Goals 2.5Peste65%1.54
Da 67% · Nu 33%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa67%1.49
3.36 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Bellinzona win38%2.632.4037.5%
Egal25%4.003.6025%
Basel II win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Bellinzona1.72

Gazde share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.36Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 65% · Sub 35%

Basel II1.64

Oaspeți share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 67% · Nu 33%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

AC Bellinzona

0.00pts / match
Jucate1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Puncte0

SignalOaspeți won 2/5 recent away matches

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Basel II

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.64
AC BellinzonaBasel II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Bellinzona signalOaspeți won 2/5 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Basel II signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AC Bellinzona vs Basel II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Bellinzona câștig 38%,Egal 25%,Basel II câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Peste 2.5 65% · Current selection Peste