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CHE Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · Final ·

AC Bellinzona vs Basel II

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–3Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win38%
Draw25%
Away win37%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 38% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2AC BellinzonaBasel II
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 25% / 37%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Bellinzona win38%2.632.4037.5%
Draw25%4.003.6025%
Basel II win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Bellinzona1.72

Home share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Basel II1.64

Away share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AC Bellinzona

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalAway won 2/5 recent away matches

Away-context · form sequence

Basel II

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.64
AC BellinzonaBasel II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Bellinzona signalAway won 2/5 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Basel II signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AC Bellinzona vs Basel II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Bellinzona win 38%,Draw 25%,Basel II win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over