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CHE Schweiz - 1.Liga Promotion · Final ·

AC Bellinzona vs Basel II

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–3Prognose 2–2
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg37%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 38% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score2–2AC BellinzonaBasel II
Expected goals3.36Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 25% / 37%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Doppelte Chance1275.2%1.33
Über 65% · Unter 35%Goals 2.5Über65%1.54
Ja 67% · Nein 33%Beide Teams treffenJa67%1.49
3.36 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Bellinzona win38%2.632.4037.5%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%
Basel II win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Bellinzona1.72

Heim share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.36Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 65% · Unter 35%

Basel II1.64

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nein 33%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AC Bellinzona

0.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punkte0

SignalAuswärts won 2/5 recent away matches

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Basel II

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.64
AC BellinzonaBasel II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Bellinzona signalAuswärts won 2/5 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Basel II signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AC Bellinzona vs Basel II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Bellinzona Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 25%,Basel II Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Über 2.5 65% · Current selection Über