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ARG Argentina - Liga de Reservas · Partida ·

Sportivo Italiano - Reservas vs Deportivo Laferrere - Reservas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante32%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo Italiano - ReservasDeportivo Laferrere - Reservas
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 29% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dupla Chance1271.4%1.40
Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%Goals 2.5Abaixo71%1.41
Sim 36% · Não 64%Ambas as equipes marcamNão64%1.56
1.87 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano - Reservas winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano - Reservas win39%2.562.2040.9%-1.9 pp
Empate29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Deportivo Laferrere - Reservas win32%3.132.9031%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Italiano - Reservas0.77

Mandante share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%

Deportivo Laferrere - Reservas1.10

Visitante share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 36% · Não 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano - Reservas

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Laferrere - Reservas

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.77
Expected goals
1.10
Sportivo Italiano - ReservasDeportivo Laferrere - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Italiano - Reservas signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Laferrere - Reservas signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Italiano - Reservas vs Deportivo Laferrere - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Italiano - Reservas ganhou 39%,Empate 29%,Deportivo Laferrere - Reservas ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Acima 2.5 29% · Current selection Abaixo