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ARG Argentina - Torneo de Reserva · Partido ·

Sportivo Italiano - B vs Deportivo Laferrere - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante32%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo Italiano - BDeportivo Laferrere - B
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de71% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 29% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Doble Oportunidad1271.4%1.40
Más de 29% · Menos de 71%Goals 2.5Menos de71%1.41
Sí 36% · No 64%Ambos equipos marcanNo64%1.56
1.87 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano - B winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano - B win39%2.562.2040.9%-1.9 pp
Empate29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Deportivo Laferrere - B win32%3.132.9031%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Italiano - B0.77

Local share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 29% · Menos de 71%

Deportivo Laferrere - B1.10

Visitante share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano - B

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Laferrere - B

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.77
Expected goals
1.10
Sportivo Italiano - BDeportivo Laferrere - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Italiano - B signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Laferrere - B signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Italiano - B vs Deportivo Laferrere - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Italiano - B ganada 39%,Empate 29%,Deportivo Laferrere - B ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Más de 2.5 29% · Current selection Menos de