Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.87 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano Reserves winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano Reserves win39%2.562.2040.9%-1.9 pp
Draw29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Deportivo Laferrere Reserves win32%3.132.9031%+1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 41.2%
Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%
Away share of expected goals 58.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSportivo Italiano Reserves
WLLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchDeportivo Laferrere Reserves
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%6
Points from supplied form
60.77
Expected goals
1.10Sportivo Italiano ReservesDeportivo Laferrere Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Sportivo Italiano Reserves vs Deportivo Laferrere Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Italiano Reserves win 39%，Draw 29%，Deportivo Laferrere Reserves win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.87 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under。