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ARG Argentina - Campionato Riserve · Partita ·

Sportivo Italiano riserve vs Deportivo Laferrere riserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite32%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo Italiano riserveDeportivo Laferrere riserve
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 29% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Doppia Chance1271.4%1.40
Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%Goals 2.5Sotto71%1.41
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
1.87 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano riserve winDifference-1.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano riserve win39%2.562.2040.9%-1.9 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Deportivo Laferrere riserve win32%3.132.9031%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Italiano riserve0.77

Casa share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%

Deportivo Laferrere riserve1.10

Trasferta share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano riserve

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Laferrere riserve

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.77
Expected goals
1.10
Sportivo Italiano riserveDeportivo Laferrere riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Italiano riserve signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Laferrere riserve signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Italiano riserve vs Deportivo Laferrere riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Italiano riserve vinta 39%,Pareggio 29%,Deportivo Laferrere riserve vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Sopra 2.5 29% · Current selection Sotto