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PAN Panama Liga Prom · Partida ·

Águilas de la U vs SD Atlético Nacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa49%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante25%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Águilas de la USD Atlético Nacional
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo50% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
49% / 26% / 25%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SD Atlético Nacional win (25.3%)Dupla Chance1X74.7%1.34
Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%Goals 2.5Abaixo50%2.00
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapÁguilas de la U winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Águilas de la U win49%2.041.9147.1%+1.9 pp
Empate26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
SD Atlético Nacional win25%4.003.4026.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Águilas de la U1.89

Mandante share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%

SD Atlético Nacional0.76

Visitante share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Águilas de la U

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontos4

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

SD Atlético Nacional

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.89
Expected goals
0.76
Águilas de la USD Atlético Nacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Águilas de la U signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SD Atlético Nacional signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Águilas de la U vs SD Atlético Nacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Águilas de la U ganhou 49%,Empate 26%,SD Atlético Nacional ganhou 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Acima 2.5 50% · Current selection Abaixo