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Αγκίλας ντε λα U vs SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου49%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου25%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Αγκίλας ντε λα USD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω50% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
49% / 26% / 25%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ win (25.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.7%1.34
Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%Goals 2.5Κάτω50%2.00
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapΑγκίλας ντε λα U winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Αγκίλας ντε λα U win49%2.041.9147.1%+1.9 pp
Ισοπαλία26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ win25%4.003.4026.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Αγκίλας ντε λα U1.89

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%

SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ0.76

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Αγκίλας ντε λα U

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.89
Expected goals
0.76
Αγκίλας ντε λα USD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Αγκίλας ντε λα U signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Αγκίλας ντε λα U vs SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Αγκίλας ντε λα U νίκη 49%,Ισοπαλία 26%,SD Ατλέτικο Νασιονάλ νίκη 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Άνω 2.5 50% · Current selection Κάτω