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PAN Panama Liga Prom · Match ·

Aguilas de la U vs SD Atletico Nacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile49%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur25%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aguilas de la USD Atletico Nacional
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
49% / 26% / 25%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SD Atletico Nacional win (25.3%)Double chance1X74.7%1.34
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Moins de50%2.00
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapAguilas de la U winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguilas de la U win49%2.041.9147.1%+1.9 pp
Nul26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
SD Atletico Nacional win25%4.003.4026.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguilas de la U1.89

Domicile share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

SD Atletico Nacional0.76

Extérieur share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Aguilas de la U

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

SD Atletico Nacional

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gagné probability excluding draw
25%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.89
Expected goals
0.76
Aguilas de la USD Atletico Nacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguilas de la U signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SD Atletico Nacional signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Aguilas de la U vs SD Atletico Nacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguilas de la U victoire 49%,Nul 26%,SD Atletico Nacional victoire 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Moins de