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UMECIT - Reservas vs CD Árabe Unido - Reservas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa37%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante36%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa37% selection probability
Projected score2–1UMECIT - ReservasCD Árabe Unido - Reservas
Expected goals3.20Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima62% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
37% / 27% / 36%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dupla Chance1272.9%1.37
Acima 62% · Abaixo 38%Goals 2.5Acima62%1.61
Sim 64% · Não 36%Ambas as equipes marcamSim64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapUMECIT - Reservas winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UMECIT - Reservas win37%2.702.4536.3%+0.7 pp
Empate27%3.703.2527.4%-0.4 pp
CD Árabe Unido - Reservas win36%2.782.4536.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UMECIT - Reservas1.72

Mandante share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals3.20Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 62% · Abaixo 38%

CD Árabe Unido - Reservas1.48

Visitante share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 64% · Não 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

UMECIT - Reservas

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CD Árabe Unido - Reservas

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
36%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.72
Expected goals
1.48
UMECIT - ReservasCD Árabe Unido - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UMECIT - Reservas signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Árabe Unido - Reservas signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UMECIT - Reservas vs CD Árabe Unido - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UMECIT - Reservas ganhou 37%,Empate 27%,CD Árabe Unido - Reservas ganhou 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Acima 2.5 62% · Current selection Acima