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SVK Eslováquia - 3. Liga · Partida ·

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa40%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante32%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa40% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima55% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
40% / 28% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dupla Chance1272.1%1.39
Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%Goals 2.5Acima55%1.82
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
MSK Senec win40%2.50
Empate28%3.57
OK Castkovce win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Senec1.58

Mandante share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%

OK Castkovce1.31

Visitante share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

MSK Senec

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

OK Castkovce

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Senec signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OK Castkovce signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Senec ganhou 40%,Empate 28%,OK Castkovce ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Acima 2.5 55% · Current selection Acima