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SVK Slovacia - 3. Liga · Meci ·

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți32%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste55% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 28% / 32%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Șansă dublă1272.1%1.39
Peste 55% · Sub 45%Goals 2.5Peste55%1.82
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
MSK Senec win40%2.50
Egal28%3.57
OK Castkovce win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Senec1.58

Gazde share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 55% · Sub 45%

OK Castkovce1.31

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

MSK Senec

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

OK Castkovce

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Senec signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OK Castkovce signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Senec câștig 40%,Egal 28%,OK Castkovce câștig 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Peste 2.5 55% · Current selection Peste