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SVK Słowacja - 3. Liga · Mecz ·

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości32%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 28% / 32%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Podwójna szansa1272.1%1.39
Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%Goals 2.5Powyżej55%1.82
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
MSK Senec win40%2.50
Remis28%3.57
OK Castkovce win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Senec1.58

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%

OK Castkovce1.31

Goście share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MSK Senec

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

OK Castkovce

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Senec signalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OK Castkovce signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Senec wygrana 40%,Remis 28%,OK Castkovce wygrana 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Powyżej 2.5 55% · Current selection Powyżej