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INT Turquia - Süper Lig · Partida ·

Samsunspor vs Goztepe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante33%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1SamsunsporGoztepe
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 30% / 33%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Dupla Chance1269.6%1.44
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.37 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Samsunspor win36%2.78
Empate30%3.33
Goztepe win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Samsunspor1.23

Mandante share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

Goztepe1.14

Visitante share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Samsunspor

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Goztepe

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
8
1.23
Expected goals
1.14
SamsunsporGoztepe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Samsunspor signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Goztepe signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Samsunspor vs Goztepe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Samsunspor ganhou 36%,Empate 30%,Goztepe ganhou 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo