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INT Türgi superliiga · Mäng ·

Samsunspor vs Goztepe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit36%
Viik30%
Võõrsilvõit33%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit36% selection probability
Projected score1–1SamsunsporGoztepe
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla58% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
36% / 30% / 33%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Topeltvõimalus1269.6%1.44
Üle 42% · Alla 58%Goals 2.5Alla58%1.72
Jah 49% · Ei 51%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi51%1.96
2.37 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Samsunspor win36%2.78
Viik30%3.33
Goztepe win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Samsunspor1.23

Kodu share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 42% · Alla 58%

Goztepe1.14

Võõras share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 49% · Ei 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Samsunspor

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Goztepe

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Võit probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
8
1.23
Expected goals
1.14
SamsunsporGoztepe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Samsunspor signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Goztepe signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Samsunspor vs Goztepe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Samsunspor võit 36%,Viik 30%,Goztepe võit 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Üle 2.5 42% · Current selection Alla