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INT Turkije - Super Lig · Wedstrijd ·

Samsunspor vs Goztepe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1SamsunsporGoztepe
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 30% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Dubbele Kans1269.6%1.44
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.37 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Samsunspor win36%2.78
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Goztepe win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Samsunspor1.23

Thuis share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Goztepe1.14

Uit share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Samsunspor

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Goztepe

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
8
1.23
Expected goals
1.14
SamsunsporGoztepe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Samsunspor signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Goztepe signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Samsunspor vs Goztepe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Samsunspor gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 30%,Goztepe gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder