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POL Poland I Liga · Final ·

Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score2–2Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa55%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante19%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia BytomPogoń Siedlce
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
55% / 26% / 19%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogoń Siedlce win (19.2%)Dupla Chance1X80.8%1.24
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapPolonia Bytom winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Bytom win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Pogoń Siedlce win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.56

Mandante share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

Pogoń Siedlce0.96

Visitante share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Pogoń Siedlce

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia BytomPogoń Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogoń Siedlce signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom ganhou 55%,Empate 26%,Pogoń Siedlce ganhou 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo