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POL Poland I Liga · Final ·

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score2–2Predpoveď 2–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich55%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí19%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Neúspešná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia BytomPogon Siedlce
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
55% / 26% / 19%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon Siedlce win (19.2%)Dvojitá šanca1X80.8%1.24
Viac 46% · Menej 54%Goals 2.5Menej54%1.85
Áno 49% · Nie 51%Oba tímy skórujúNie51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapPolonia Bytom winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Bytom win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Remíza26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Pogon Siedlce win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.56

Domáci share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 46% · Menej 54%

Pogon Siedlce0.96

Hostia share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Pogon Siedlce

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Výhra probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia BytomPogon Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Siedlce signalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom výhra 55%,Remíza 26%,Pogon Siedlce výhra 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Viac 2.5 46% · Current selection Menej