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ENG Inglaterra - Southern League - Premier Division - Sul · Partida ·

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa56%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante20%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
56% / 24% / 20%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chertsey Town win (20.1%)Dupla Chance1X79.9%1.25
Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%Goals 2.5Acima53%1.89
Sim 41% · Não 59%Ambas as equipes marcamNão59%1.69
2.80 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapGloucester City winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gloucester City win56%1.791.6754.1%+1.9 pp
Empate24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
Chertsey Town win20%5.004.2021.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gloucester City2.20

Mandante share of expected goals 78.6%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%

Chertsey Town0.60

Visitante share of expected goals 21.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 41% · Não 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Gloucester City

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Chertsey Town

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.20
Expected goals
0.60
Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gloucester City signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chertsey Town signalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gloucester City ganhou 56%,Empate 24%,Chertsey Town ganhou 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Acima 2.5 53% · Current selection Acima