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ENG England - Southern Premier League - South · Spiel ·

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg62%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg14%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
62% / 24% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chertsey Town win (14.3%)Doppelte Chance1X85.7%1.17
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.80 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Gloucester City win62%1.61
Unentschieden24%4.17
Chertsey Town win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gloucester City2.20

Heim share of expected goals 78.6%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Chertsey Town0.60

Auswärts share of expected goals 21.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Gloucester City

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Chertsey Town

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.20
Expected goals
0.60
Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gloucester City signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chertsey Town signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gloucester City Gewinn 62%,Unentschieden 24%,Chertsey Town Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über