Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 24% / 14%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chertsey Town win (14.3%)Double chance1X85.7%1.17
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Gloucester City win62%1.61
Draw24%4.17
Chertsey Town win14%7.14
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 78.6%
Total expected goals2.80Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 21.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchGloucester City
DWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchChertsey Town
WLWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
62%
Win probability excluding draw
14%13
Points from supplied form
122.20
Expected goals
0.60Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Gloucester City win 62%，Draw 24%，Chertsey Town win 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。