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MOZ Moçambique - Moçambola · Round 9 ·

Black Bulls vs Baía de Pemba FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa45%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante27%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Black BullsBaía de Pemba FC
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
45% / 28% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baía de Pemba FC win (27.2%)Dupla Chance1X72.8%1.37
Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%Goals 2.5Abaixo59%1.69
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.33 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Black Bulls win45%2.22
Empate28%3.57
Baía de Pemba FC win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Black Bulls1.35

Mandante share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%

Baía de Pemba FC0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Black Bulls

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Baía de Pemba FC

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontos4

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
Black BullsBaía de Pemba FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Black Bulls signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Baía de Pemba FC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Black Bulls vs Baía de Pemba FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Black Bulls ganhou 45%,Empate 28%,Baía de Pemba FC ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Acima 2.5 41% · Current selection Abaixo