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MOZ Mozambic - Mocambola · Final ·

Black Bulls vs Baia de Pemba F.C

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți27%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 45% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Black BullsBaia de Pemba F.C
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub59% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 28% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baia de Pemba F.C win (27.2%)Șansă dublă1X72.8%1.37
Peste 41% · Sub 59%Goals 2.5Sub59%1.69
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.33 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Black Bulls win45%2.22
Egal28%3.57
Baia de Pemba F.C win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Black Bulls1.35

Gazde share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 41% · Sub 59%

Baia de Pemba F.C0.98

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Black Bulls

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Baia de Pemba F.C

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puncte4

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
Black BullsBaia de Pemba F.C
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Black Bulls signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Baia de Pemba F.C signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Black Bulls vs Baia de Pemba F.C FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Black Bulls câștig 45%,Egal 28%,Baia de Pemba F.C câștig 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Peste 2.5 41% · Current selection Sub