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NOR Norwegia - Division 3 - Grupa 1 · Mecz ·

FK Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy68%
Remis17%
Wygrana gości15%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy68% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Union Carl BernerKonnerud
Expected goals3.21Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
68% / 17% / 15%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Konnerud win (15.5%)Podwójna szansa1X84.5%1.18
Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%Goals 2.5Powyżej62%1.61
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
3.21 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapKonnerud winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Union Carl Berner win68%1.471.3367.9%+0.1 pp
Remis17%5.885.5016.4%+0.6 pp
Konnerud win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Union Carl Berner2.32

Gospodarze share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.21Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%

Konnerud0.89

Goście share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FK Union Carl Berner

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Konnerud

0.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkty0

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
15%
3
Points from supplied form
0
2.32
Expected goals
0.89
FK Union Carl BernerKonnerud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Union Carl Berner signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Konnerud signalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Union Carl Berner wygrana 68%,Remis 17%,Konnerud wygrana 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Powyżej 2.5 62% · Current selection Powyżej