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NOR Norvegia - 3ª Divisione - Gruppo 1 · Partita ·

FK Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa64%
Pareggio18%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa64% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Union Carl BernerKonnerud
Expected goals3.21Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
64% / 18% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18%)Doppia Chance1282%1.22
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
3.21 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapKonnerud winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Union Carl Berner win64%1.561.4263.2%+0.8 pp
Pareggio18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
Konnerud win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Union Carl Berner2.32

Casa share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.21Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Konnerud0.89

Trasferta share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FK Union Carl Berner

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Konnerud

0.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
3
Points from supplied form
0
2.32
Expected goals
0.89
FK Union Carl BernerKonnerud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Union Carl Berner signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Konnerud signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

FK Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Union Carl Berner vinta 64%,Pareggio 18%,Konnerud vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra