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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 1 · Fixture ·

FK Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Away form
Home win68%
Draw17%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win68% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Union Carl BernerKonnerud
Expected goals3.21Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 17% / 15%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Konnerud win (15.5%)Double chance1X84.5%1.18
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapKonnerud winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Union Carl Berner win68%1.471.3367.9%+0.1 pp
Draw17%5.885.5016.4%+0.6 pp
Konnerud win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Union Carl Berner2.32

Home share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.21Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Konnerud0.89

Away share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Union Carl Berner

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Konnerud

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
3
Points from supplied form
0
2.32
Expected goals
0.89
FK Union Carl BernerKonnerud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Union Carl Berner signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Konnerud signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Union Carl Berner vs Konnerud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Union Carl Berner win 68%,Draw 17%,Konnerud win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over