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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Mecz ·

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce

Archived pre-match prediction

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy49%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości26%
Baseline forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier C · 49% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy49% selection probability
Projected score2–1SK Sturm GrazFenerbahce
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
49% / 25% / 26%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Podwójna szansa1275.3%1.33
Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%Goals 2.5Powyżej51%1.96
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
SK Sturm Graz win49%2.04
Remis25%4.00
Fenerbahce win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz1.62

Gospodarze share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%

Fenerbahce1.10

Goście share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Fenerbahce

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.62
Expected goals
1.10
SK Sturm GrazFenerbahce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fenerbahce signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz wygrana 49%,Remis 25%,Fenerbahce wygrana 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Powyżej 2.5 51% · Current selection Powyżej