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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Meci ·

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce

Archived pre-match prediction

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 49% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score2–1SK Sturm GrazFenerbahce
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 25% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Șansă dublă1275.3%1.33
Peste 51% · Sub 49%Goals 2.5Peste51%1.96
Da 53% · Nu 47%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
SK Sturm Graz win49%2.04
Egal25%4.00
Fenerbahce win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz1.62

Gazde share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 51% · Sub 49%

Fenerbahce1.10

Oaspeți share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 53% · Nu 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Fenerbahce

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.62
Expected goals
1.10
SK Sturm GrazFenerbahce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fenerbahce signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz câștig 49%,Egal 25%,Fenerbahce câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Peste 2.5 51% · Current selection Peste