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PRT Portugalia - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Vizela vs UD Leiria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.80 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy34%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości38%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości38% selection probability
Projected score1–1VizelaUD Leiria
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
34% / 28% / 38%Wynik meczuWygrana gości38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Podwójna szansa1271.7%1.39
Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%Goals 2.5Powyżej53%1.89
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Vizela win34%2.94
Remis28%3.57
UD Leiria win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vizela1.34

Gospodarze share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%

UD Leiria1.46

Goście share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Vizela

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

UD Leiria

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.34
Expected goals
1.46
VizelaUD Leiria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vizela signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vizela vs UD Leiria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vizela wygrana 34%,Remis 28%,UD Leiria wygrana 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Powyżej 2.5 53% · Current selection Powyżej