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PRT Portugalsko - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Vizela vs UD Leiria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.80 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích34%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů38%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů38% selection probability
Projected score1–1VizelaUD Leiria
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více53% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
34% / 28% / 38%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Dvojitá šance1271.8%1.39
Více 53% · Méně 47%Goals 2.5Více53%1.89
Ano 57% · Ne 43%Oba týmy skórujíAno57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Vizela win34%2.94
Remíza28%3.57
UD Leiria win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vizela1.34

Domácí share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 53% · Méně 47%

UD Leiria1.46

Hosté share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 57% · Ne 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Vizela

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

UD Leiria

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Výhra probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.34
Expected goals
1.46
VizelaUD Leiria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vizela signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria signalDomácí clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vizela vs UD Leiria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vizela výhra 34%,Remíza 28%,UD Leiria výhra 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Více 2.5 53% · Current selection Více