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HRV Chorwacja - HNL · Round 1 ·

HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagrzeb

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy24%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości48%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości48% selection probability
Projected score1–2HNK RijekaDinamo Zagrzeb
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
24% / 28% / 48%Wynik meczuWygrana gości48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Rijeka win (23.8%)Podwójna szansaX276.2%1.31
Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%Goals 2.5Poniżej52%1.92
Tak 49% · Nie 51%Obie drużyny strzeląNie51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
HNK Rijeka win24%4.17
Remis28%3.57
Dinamo Zagrzeb win48%2.08

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HNK Rijeka0.90

Gospodarze share of expected goals 34.7%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%

Dinamo Zagrzeb1.69

Goście share of expected goals 65.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Dinamo Zagrzeb

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
48%
15
Points from supplied form
11
0.90
Expected goals
1.69
HNK RijekaDinamo Zagrzeb
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HNK Rijeka signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Zagrzeb signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagrzeb FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HNK Rijeka wygrana 24%,Remis 28%,Dinamo Zagrzeb wygrana 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Powyżej 2.5 48% · Current selection Poniżej