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HRV クロアチア HNL · Round 1 ·

HNKリエカ vs ディナモザグレブ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利24%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利48%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利48% selection probability
Projected score1–2HNKリエカディナモザグレブ
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
24% / 28% / 48%試合結果アウェイ勝利48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNKリエカ win (23.8%)ダブルチャンスX276.2%1.31
オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%Goals 2.5アンダー52%1.92
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
2.59 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
HNKリエカ win24%4.17
引き分け28%3.57
ディナモザグレブ win48%2.08

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HNKリエカ0.90

ホーム share of expected goals 34.7%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%

ディナモザグレブ1.69

アウェイ share of expected goals 65.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

HNKリエカ

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ディナモザグレブ

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
勝ち probability excluding draw
48%
15
Points from supplied form
11
0.90
Expected goals
1.69
HNKリエカディナモザグレブ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HNKリエカ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ディナモザグレブ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

HNKリエカ vs ディナモザグレブ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HNKリエカ 勝ち 24%,引き分け 28%,ディナモザグレブ 勝ち 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · オーバー 2.5 48% · Current selection アンダー